Category Archives: 112th Congress

Intra-Party Divides over Domestic Surveillance

Following Nate Silver’s analysis of how the issue of domestic surveillance divides the parties internally, below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to analyze the 112th House and Senate’s votes to renew the Patriot Act and the FISA (Foreign … Continue reading

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An Update on Political Polarization through the 112th Congress

The 112th Congress closed unceremoniously this month with a series of votes (by the House and Senate) to avert the “fiscal cliff”. With this data, we can now analyze roll call voting in the 112th Congress in its entirety and … Continue reading

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House: The Speaker Election for the 113th House

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House’s vote on the Speaker of the 113th House. Rep. John Boehner (R-OH) won, receiving 220 votes and overcoming concerns about a mutiny among conservative House Republicans. Rep. Nancy … Continue reading

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House: Vote on the Fiscal Cliff Deal

Revised 3 January 2012: We have updated the plot with the votes of the four missing Yea legislators and the three missing Nay legislators. The substantive findings remain unchanged. Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the … Continue reading

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Senate: Vote on the Fiscal Cliff Deal

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the Senate’s 89-8 vote on a fiscal cliff deal reached late Monday. The agreement permanently extends the current income tax rates for individuals/families with annual incomes below $400k/$450k. It also … Continue reading

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House: Vote on Part One of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” (Spending Reduction Act of 2012)

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House’s 215-209 vote on the first part of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” on the fiscal cliff: The Spending Reduction Act of 2012. The bill would stop the sequester (automatic … Continue reading

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Senate: Votes on Banning Transfers from Guantanamo Bay and Ratifying a United Nations Treaty for Disabled Rights

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the Senate’s 54-41 vote to prohibit funds from being used to transfer detainees from Guantanamo Bay and its 61-38 vote to ratify a United Nations treaty to prohibit discrimination against … Continue reading

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The Fiscal Cliff: The Congressional Votes that Got Us Here

The United States will go over the “fiscal cliff” on January 1st if Congress and President Obama are unable to reach a deal to prevent automatic tax increases and cuts to defense and domestic spending. The economic consequences of going … Continue reading

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The 113th House

In this post we continue our efforts to project partisan polarization in the next, 113th Congress. We previously did so for the 113th Senate; in this post we do so for the 113th House. To allow for cross-comparability with the … Continue reading

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The 113th Senate

With all of the 2012 Senate races called, we can now offer a more concrete assessment of the ideological distribution of the 113th Senate, which will convene in January 2013. We previously endeavored to forecast polarization in the 113th Senate … Continue reading

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