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- Senate: Vote to Reject the Manchin-Toomey Amendment on Background Checks for Gun Purchases
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Keith T. Poole
ktpoole [at] uga.edu
Christopher Hare
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Category Archives: Contemporary American Politics
The House and Senate’s 1996 Votes on the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA)
Ahead of the Supreme Court hearings on two gay marriage cases this week, below we use DW-NOMINATE scores to plot the House and Senate votes to pass the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) during the 104th Congress (1995-1997). The constitutionality … Continue reading
An Update on the Presidential Square Wave
Below we plot the first dimension DW-NOMINATE Common Space scores of the presidents in the post-war period, which we refer to as the “presidential square wave” due to its shape. DW-NOMINATE is a statistical procedure that estimates the ideological positions … Continue reading
An Update on Political Polarization through the 112th Congress
The 112th Congress closed unceremoniously this month with a series of votes (by the House and Senate) to avert the “fiscal cliff”. With this data, we can now analyze roll call voting in the 112th Congress in its entirety and … Continue reading
House: The Speaker Election for the 113th House
Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House’s vote on the Speaker of the 113th House. Rep. John Boehner (R-OH) won, receiving 220 votes and overcoming concerns about a mutiny among conservative House Republicans. Rep. Nancy … Continue reading
House: Vote on the Fiscal Cliff Deal
Revised 3 January 2012: We have updated the plot with the votes of the four missing Yea legislators and the three missing Nay legislators. The substantive findings remain unchanged. Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the … Continue reading
Senate: Vote on the Fiscal Cliff Deal
Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the Senate’s 89-8 vote on a fiscal cliff deal reached late Monday. The agreement permanently extends the current income tax rates for individuals/families with annual incomes below $400k/$450k. It also … Continue reading
House: Vote on Part One of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” (Spending Reduction Act of 2012)
Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House’s 215-209 vote on the first part of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” on the fiscal cliff: The Spending Reduction Act of 2012. The bill would stop the sequester (automatic … Continue reading
The Fiscal Cliff: The Congressional Votes that Got Us Here
The United States will go over the “fiscal cliff” on January 1st if Congress and President Obama are unable to reach a deal to prevent automatic tax increases and cuts to defense and domestic spending. The economic consequences of going … Continue reading
The 113th House
In this post we continue our efforts to project partisan polarization in the next, 113th Congress. We previously did so for the 113th Senate; in this post we do so for the 113th House. To allow for cross-comparability with the … Continue reading
The 113th Senate
With all of the 2012 Senate races called, we can now offer a more concrete assessment of the ideological distribution of the 113th Senate, which will convene in January 2013. We previously endeavored to forecast polarization in the 113th Senate … Continue reading