Monthly Archives: November 2012

2012 Elections Conference: Presidential Campaign Politics

Panelists: Ben Bishin (University of California at Riverside), Gary Jacobson (University of California at San Diego), Drew Kurlowski (University of Missouri), and John Petrocik (University of Missouri). Dr. Petrocik discussed trends in presidential vote intentions over the course of the … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Elections Conference | Leave a comment

2012 Elections Conference: Practitioner’s Roundtable

Panelists: Dan Judy (North Star Opinion Research), Clyde Tucker (CNN Election Night Analyst), and Ashley Jones (Chief of Staff for Hon. John Barrow). Moderator: Chuck Bullock (University of Georgia). This panel offered a perspective of the 2012 elections from the … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Elections Conference | Leave a comment

2012 Elections Conference: Public Opinion and the Elections

Panelists: Jim Campbell (SUNY-Buffalo), Robert Erikson (Columbia University), Trey Hood (University of Georgia), and Jamie Monogan (University of Georgia). Dr. Campbell’s analysis suggests that Obama won the election because first party-term incumbency trumped a very weak economic record. Obama benefited … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Elections Conference | Leave a comment

2012 Elections Conference: Issues in the Election

Panelists: Nolan McCarty (Princeton University), Rod Kiewiet (California Institute of Technology), Jason Roberts (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), and Brian Schaffner (University of Massachusetts, Amherst). Dr. Kiewiet discussed his interpretation of the 2012 elections as a “skirmish in … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Elections Conference | Leave a comment

Post-Election Conference at the University of Georgia

The “Effects of the 2012 Presidential Election Conference” will be held at the University of Georgia on Friday, November 30th and Saturday, December 1st. Organized by Keith T. Poole, the Philip H. Alston Jr. Distinguished Chair in the Department of … Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Elections Conference | Leave a comment

The Fiscal Cliff: The Congressional Votes that Got Us Here

The United States will go over the “fiscal cliff” on January 1st if Congress and President Obama are unable to reach a deal to prevent automatic tax increases and cuts to defense and domestic spending. The economic consequences of going … Continue reading

Posted in 111th Lame Duck Congress, 112th Congress, 113th Congress, American Political History, Contemporary American Politics, Political Polarization | Leave a comment

The 113th House

In this post we continue our efforts to project partisan polarization in the next, 113th Congress. We previously did so for the 113th Senate; in this post we do so for the 113th House. To allow for cross-comparability with the … Continue reading

Posted in 112th Congress, 113th Congress, Contemporary American Politics, Political Polarization | Leave a comment

The 113th Senate

With all of the 2012 Senate races called, we can now offer a more concrete assessment of the ideological distribution of the 113th Senate, which will convene in January 2013. We previously endeavored to forecast polarization in the 113th Senate … Continue reading

Posted in 112th Congress, 113th Congress, Contemporary American Politics, Political Polarization | Leave a comment

Polarization and the 2012 Election

Will centrists be the big winners of Tuesday’s elections? Some commentators suggest so, predicting that the results will compel both parties – particularly the Republicans – to move towards the center. This view contends that a Romney loss, which would … Continue reading

Posted in Contemporary American Politics, Political Polarization | Leave a comment