Monthly Archives: December 2012

House: Vote on Part One of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” (Spending Reduction Act of 2012)

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the House’s 215-209 vote on the first part of Speaker Boehner’s “Plan B” on the fiscal cliff: The Spending Reduction Act of 2012. The bill would stop the sequester (automatic … Continue reading

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Congressional Votes on the Federal Assault Weapons Ban

Below we use DW-NOMINATE scores to plot two congressional votes on a federal assault weapons ban. The first was President Clinton’s omnibus crime bill (the Violence Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act), which passed the House in a 235-195 vote … Continue reading

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Senate: Votes on Banning Transfers from Guantanamo Bay and Ratifying a United Nations Treaty for Disabled Rights

Below we use Optimal Classification (OC) in R to plot the Senate’s 54-41 vote to prohibit funds from being used to transfer detainees from Guantanamo Bay and its 61-38 vote to ratify a United Nations treaty to prohibit discrimination against … Continue reading

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2012 Elections Conference: Roundtable: Looking Ahead to 2013 and Beyond

Participants: Gary Jacobson (University of California at San Diego), Rod Kiewiet (California Institute of Technology), and Rich Vining (University of Georgia). Moderator: Jamie Carson (University of Georgia). Dr. Vining’s presentation focused on the impact of the 2012 elections on the … Continue reading

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2012 Elections Conference: Forecasting the Elections

Panelists: Jim Campbell (SUNY-Buffalo), Robert Erikson (Columbia University), and Drew Linzer (Emory University). Dr. Campbell assessed the performance of some of the prominent forecasting models – including his own – of the 2012 presidential election. Dr. Campbell’s Trial-Heat and Economy … Continue reading

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